The public supports regulating AI for safety
Zach Stein-Perlman, 16 February 2023 A high-quality American public survey on AI, Artificial Intelligence Use Prompts Concerns, was released yesterday by Monmouth. Some notable results: 9% say AI1...
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How popular is ChatGPT? Part 1: more popular than Taylor Swift
Harlan Stewart, 23 February 2023 Introduction Public attention toward AI seems much higher after the release of ChatGPT at the end of November. But how much higher is it? To better understand this, I...
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Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”
Patrick Levermore, 1 March 2023 Summary This document looks at the predictions made by AI experts in The 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI, analyses the predictions on ‘Narrow tasks’, and gives a...
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How popular is ChatGPT? Part 2: slower growth than Pokémon GO
Rick Korzekwa, March 3, 2023 A major theme in reporting on ChatGPT is the rapid growth of its user base. A commonly stated claim is that it broke records, with over 1 million users in less than a week...
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How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
Katja Grace, 8 March 2023 In our survey last year, we asked publishing machine learning researchers how they would divide probability over the future impacts of high-level machine intelligence between...
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You Can’t Predict a Game of Pinball
Jeffrey Heninger, 29 March 2023 Introduction When thinking about a new idea, it helps to have a particular example to use to gain intuition and to clarify your thoughts. Games are particularly helpful...
View ArticleA policy guaranteed to increase AI timelines
Rick Korzekwa, April 1, 2023 The number of years until the creation of powerful AI is a major input to our thinking about risk from AI and which approaches are most promising for mitigating that risk....
View ArticleSuperintelligence Is Not Omniscience
Jeffrey Heninger and Aysja Johnson, 7 April 2023 The Power of Intelligence It is often implicitly assumed that the power of a superintelligence will be practically unbounded. There seems like there...
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What we’ve learned so far from our technological temptations project
Rick Korzekwa, 11 April 2023, updated 13 April 2023 At AI Impacts, we’ve been looking into how people, institutions, and society approach novel, powerful technologies. One part of this is our...
View ArticleAI Impacts Quarterly Newsletter, Jan-Mar 2023
Harlan Stewart, 17 April 2023 News AI Impacts blog We moved our blog to Substack! We think this platform has many advantages, and we’re excited for the blog to live here. You can now easily subscribe...
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